CARES DEFENSE INTELLIGENCE · ANALYTICAL BRIEF

Cover Charge.

The Golden Dome cost meter — priced by the foot.

Move the dial. Read the price. From $24 billion enacted to CBO's $1.2 trillion twenty-year estimate. Every setting recomputes cost per square foot, per person, per taxpayer, and per household — live.

CBO · cost anchors IRS + Census · per capita NOAA · area basis
Interactive Golden Dome cost meter — needle position updates with slider and toggles below. THE METER $1T $2T $3T $4T $5T $24B $185B $542B $1.2T $3.6T 1.22¢ PER SQ FT · LAND ONLY $1.2T
$24B $5T

Companion brief · Same Dome

Building it is a different problem.

"Not a technology challenge — it is an organizational behavior and social engineering challenge." — Gen. Guetlein, Sept 2026

Read Same Dome →

DETAILED WORKSHEET

Every angle, every audience.

Jump to a public estimate below to snap the meter above to that anchor. Add per-capita views to translate program cost into person, taxpayer, and household terms.

GOLDEN DOME · GDA

Program cost readout

Current setting reflects the meter above · 5 public estimate anchors

SEP 2026 CBO NOTIONAL P.L. 119-21
Jump to a public estimate
Add per-capita views

COST PER SQUARE FOOT

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TOTAL AREA

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million sq mi

PER ACRE

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43,560 sq ft

PER CAPITA · 2026 VS 2046 PROJECTION
Today · 2026Projected · 2046
Per person (349M / 361M)
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Per taxpayer (161M / 167M)
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Per household (135M / 140M)
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CBO Demographic Outlook 2026–2056 (Jan 2026), IRS Data Book FY2024, US Census / FRED TTLHH 2025. Taxpayer and household 2046 projections scaled to CBO population trajectory (+3.4%).

FOR SCALE

Six familiar yardsticks.

How the meter's cost per square foot lands against real estate you know — Manhattan to West Virginia — plus a US aircraft carrier deck, common flooring, a foreign missile defense benchmark, and a first-class stamp.

MOST EXPENSIVE MARKET

NYC Manhattan

— more expensive than Golden Dome

$1,500/ft² · Median residential (Redfin Q1 2026, ~$1,440/ft² rounded).

CHEAPEST STATE

West Virginia

— more expensive than Golden Dome

$104/ft² · $177,887 median ÷ 1,714 ft² typical (Zillow ZHVI Q2 2026 · Experian).

AVERAGE FLOORING

Linoleum (US)

— more expensive than Golden Dome

$5/ft² · Installed average (Homewyse May 2026 $4.72–$6.40 · Today's Homeowner reports $4.50 avg).

US NAVAL BENCHMARK

Coverage per Ford-class carrier

— of Golden Dome coverage per carrier

$13.3B procurement · USS Gerald R. Ford, first-in-class Ford-type supercarrier (NAVSEA · 19FortyFive Aug 2026). At the meter's current setting, one carrier equals this share of the total defended area.

FOREIGN BENCHMARK

vs Iron Dome (Israel)

— — than Golden Dome

2.10¢/ft² · ~$5B program ÷ 8,522 sq mi Israel land. Point defense against artillery rockets — not a strategic missile shield.

CONSUMER REFERENCE

Coverage per Forever stamp

— of defense per $0.82 stamp

USPS Forever stamp $0.82, effective 12 Jul 2026. Answers: how much homeland defense does one stamp buy?

$24B ENACTED · P.L. 119-21
$1.2T CBO 20-YR ESTIMATE
349M AMERICANS DEFENDED
27 SOURCES CITED

Publicly cited estimates for Golden Dome for America span more than two orders of magnitude — from the $24 billion appropriated in the FY2025 reconciliation package (P.L. 119-21, the One Big Beautiful Bill Act) to the American Enterprise Institute's $3.6 trillion upper bound for a robust all-threat architecture (Harrison, Sept 2025). Between them sit the White House's revised $185 billion (Guetlein, March 2026) and the Congressional Budget Office's $1.2 trillion full 20-year estimate (May 2026). Neither the floor nor the ceiling, on its own, conveys the physical or per-capita scale of what is being purchased.

Cover Charge translates each anchor into two intuitive units: cost per square foot of covered territory, and cost per person, taxpayer, and household. The intent is magnitude — a working sense of scale for use in analysis, briefings, and public communication — not fiscal projection.

COMPANION BRIEF · A CARES DEFENSE INTELLIGENCE PIECE

But building it is a different problem entirely.

"Building Golden Dome is not a technology challenge — it is an organizational behavior and social engineering challenge. How do I get all this kit that was built for a different fight, a different customer, and never meant to work together?"

— Gen. Michael A. Guetlein, Director, Golden Dome for America · Sept 14, 2026

This meter measures the cost. The companion brief — Same Dome, Different Lenses, Different Fights — argues that the harder problem is organizational: seven services and agencies, each with its own kit, doctrine, and institutional customer, being asked to hand off cleanly across seams that none of the kit was ever built to cross.

RECENT DEVELOPMENTS · MAY 2025 → SEP 2026

Eighteen months in.

The program is no longer theoretical. Contracts are on the books, industry is competing, an operational unit has been assigned, and Guetlein has publicly committed to a summer 2028 initial capability.

SEP 2025

$3.6T

AEI upper bound

Todd Harrison modeled six Golden Dome architectures ranging from $252B (limited tactical) to $3.6T (robust all-threat defense) over 20 years in FY26 dollars.

MAR 2026

$185B

Program cost revised up

Guetlein confirmed the official cost estimate rose from $175B to $185B to procure "additional space capabilities."

JAN 2026

JFRP

JCIDS ends, JFRP activates

CJCSM 5123.01 authoritative Jan 15. JCIDS disestablished; services now validate their own requirements. JROC reorients to Joint Force Design, Joint Capability Integration, and CCMD requirements — reshaping the joint context Golden Dome integrates through.

APR 2026

$3.2B

12 SBI primes selected

Space Systems Command awarded OTAs to Anduril, Booz Allen, GDMS, GITAI USA, Lockheed, Northrop, Quindar, Raytheon, Sci-Tec, SpaceX, True Anomaly, and Turion.

APR 2026

$17.9B

FY2027 budget request

Pentagon FY2027 defense budget submission included $17.9B for Golden Dome — a shift toward homeland defense against peer-level missile threats.

JUL 2026

$1.75B

36 tracking satellites

Space Development Agency awarded contracts for 36 HBTSS-like missile-tracking satellites to build the Golden Dome sensing layer.

AUG 2026

Gate 1

All 12 SBI primes advance

The 12 competitors for space-based interceptor development cleared the first of four gates in the novel prize-based demonstration effort.

AUG 2026

1st Unit

Army assigns first AD unit

Lt. Gen. Rafferty announced at the Space and Missile Defense Symposium that the Army has assigned its first existing air-defense unit to the Golden Dome mission.

AUG 2026

90%

Funding obligated

Guetlein confirmed 90% of the program office's funding is on contract. The office received $22.5B of the $24.4B FY26 appropriation in March 2026.

SEP 2026

2028

Initial capability target

At the Air, Space & Cyber Conference, Guetlein publicly committed the program to delivering "an operational capability by the summer of 2028."

START ANALYZING

Three ways in

BY PROGRAM COST

Deep dive worksheet

Jump to any of the five public cost anchors, layer on per-person, per-taxpayer, per-household views, and read the metric tiles.

Open the worksheet →

BY THREAT CLASS

Layered architecture

Four tiers — space, upper, lower, terminal — each handling a different threat class from ICBMs to UAS. What the cost buys, tier by tier.

See the layers →

BY DATA PROVENANCE

Sources & methodology

Twenty-seven public sources — CBO, IRS, Census, CRS, USPS, NOAA — with assumptions documented. Every figure traces back.

Read the methodology →

COST CURVES

Area basis shapes the trajectory

Cents per square foot across the $150B — $5T range

Land only + 12 nm + EEZ
Cost curves from $150B to $5T for three area bases.

SYSTEM ARCHITECTURE

What the cost is buying

Golden Dome is a layered system-of-systems. Each tier addresses a distinct threat class. CBO's $1.2 trillion estimate is dominated (~70%) by the space-based interceptor layer — the tier program manager Gen. Michael Guetlein has publicly indicated may not survive final design.

SPACE + UPPER TIER

Ballistic (ICBM)

Exoatmospheric parabolic trajectory. Detected by SBIRS/Next-Gen OPIR, intercepted in mid-course.

Interceptors: GBI (GMD), NGI, SM-3 Blk IIA

SPACE + LOWER TIER

Hypersonic (HGV)

Mach 5+ skip-glide in upper atmosphere. Maneuvering flight requires continuous tracking.

Interceptors: GPI, SM-6, HBTSS

LOWER TIER + TERMINAL

Cruise missile

Low altitude, terrain-following, sub- or supersonic. Difficult radar detection.

Interceptors: PAC-3, SM-6, NASAMS, IFPC

LOWER TIER + TERMINAL

UAS Group III+

Medium-altitude (3,500–18,000 ft AGL), longer-range unmanned systems — Group III (55–1,320 lbs) up through Group V. Larger radar cross-section and higher speeds than hobbyist drones.

Interceptors: NASAMS, Coyote Blk 3, IFPC, LIDS, M-SHORAD

SCENARIO SNAPSHOTS

The five public estimates

Each figure has a different scope and a different observer. Click any card to load that anchor into the meter above.

CONGRESS · JUL 2025 $24B Currently enacted Appropriated under P.L. 119-21 (OBBBA). Called by the President an "initial down payment." CRS · PUBLIC LAW
WH · MAR 2026 $185B White House revised Guetlein-confirmed revision from the initial $175B May 2025 figure, adding "additional space capabilities." GUETLEIN · MAR 26
CBO · JUL 2025 $542B Space layer only Earlier CBO estimate limited to the space-based interceptor layer. CBO INTERIM
CBO · MAY 2026 $1.2T Full 20-yr architecture Full notional architecture, 20-year lifecycle. ~$1T acquisition + $8B/yr O&M. CBO FULL
AEI · SEP 2025 $3.6T Robust all-threat Todd Harrison's upper bound of six modeled architectures. "Robust All-Threat Defense" over 20 years in FY26 dollars. AEI · HARRISON

SOURCES & DOCUMENTATION

Every figure traces back

Twenty-seven sources — primary or authoritative secondary reporting — retrieved September 2026.

  1. CBO — Golden Dome cost estimate, May 12 2026. cbo.gov
  2. CBO — Demographic Outlook 2026–2056, Jan 2026. cbo.gov/publication/61879
  3. NPR — Trump's proposed Golden Dome estimated $1.2T, May 13 2026. npr.org
  4. DefenseScoop — CBO Golden Dome estimate, May 12 2026. defensescoop.com
  5. Federal News Network — CBO $1.2T over 20 years, May 2026. federalnewsnetwork.com
  6. The Hill — CBO Golden Dome cost coverage, May 2026. thehill.com
  7. CRS / Axios — US contribution to Iron Dome $3B, Oct 2023. axios.com
  8. AEI — Israel's Iron Dome investment, May 2022. aei.org
  9. Congress.gov / CRS — Defense Primer: Golden Dome IF13115. congress.gov
  10. IRS — Data Book FY2024, Table 2 returns filed. irs.gov
  11. US Census Bureau — State area measurements. census.gov
  12. FRED / Census — Total Households TTLHH, Dec 2025. fred.stlouisfed.org
  13. Wikipedia — US Exclusive Economic Zone breakdown. en.wikipedia.org
  14. NOAA Ocean Service — What is the EEZ? oceanservice.noaa.gov
  15. USPS — 2026 Forever stamp price change. about.usps.com
  16. Space.com — Golden Dome cost balloons to $1.2T, May 2026. space.com
  17. Homewyse · Today's Homeowner — Linoleum flooring PSF installed, May–Jul 2026. homewyse.com
  18. NAVSEA · 19FortyFive — Ford-class carrier CVN-78 $13.3B, 5-acre flight deck, Aug 2026. en.wikipedia.org
  19. National Defense Magazine — "AFA News: Golden Dome On Track for Summer 2028 Delivery, Guetlein Says." Cost revised to $185B; 2028 initial capability committed. Sep 14, 2026. nationaldefensemagazine.org
  20. DefenseScoop — "Space Force names 12 companies to develop Golden Dome's space-based interceptors." $3.2B in OTAs to 12 primes. Apr 24, 2026. defensescoop.com
  21. Army Recognition — "U.S. Unveils $17.9 Billion Golden Dome Program in 2027 Defense Budget." FY27 request $17.9B. Apr 24, 2026. armyrecognition.com
  22. Air & Space Forces Magazine — "SDA Awards Contracts for 36 Golden Dome Missile Tracking Satellites." $1.75B in awards. Jul 14, 2026. airandspaceforces.com
  23. Aerospace America — "Golden Dome funding is 90% obligated, Guetlein says." $22.5B of $24.4B FY26 to program office. Aug 20, 2026. aerospaceamerica.aiaa.org
  24. Breaking Defense — "Space-based interceptor contractors passed first Golden Dome milestone: Guetlein." All 12 SBI primes clear Gate 1. Aug 12, 2026. breakingdefense.com
  25. Army Recognition — "U.S. Army Assigns First Air Defense Unit to Golden Dome Mission." Lt. Gen. Rafferty at SMDS. Aug 13, 2026. armyrecognition.com
  26. American Enterprise Institute · Harrison — "Build Your Own Golden Dome: A Framework for Understanding Costs, Choices and Tradeoffs." Six architectures modeled, $252B to $3.6T over 20 years in FY26 dollars. Sept 12, 2025. aei.org
  27. Joint Chiefs of Staff · CJCSM 5123.01 — Charter authorizing the Joint Force Requirements Process (JFRP). Replaces JCIDS effective Jan 15, 2026. jcs.mil